For the same reason you don't get a sensible answer to, "Am I Chinese?" when you assume that "you" are a random choice from the ensemble of beings who can ask that question. Brent On 9/18/2015 2:46 PM, Andy Latto wrote:
So the doomsday argument gives the same answer to questions which we know have different answers, like "what's the expected time until humans are extinct?" "what's the expected time until humans are extinct on earth?", "what's the expected time until there is no intelligent life on earth?". and we know that sensible estimates of these are larger for some than for others. So we know that the doomsday argument doesn't give sensible answers.
Andy
On Fri, Sep 18, 2015 at 5:03 PM, Warren D Smith <warren.wds@gmail.com> wrote:
The doomsday argument, as Andy Latto hinted, seems equally valid for humans, and "intelligent life originating on earth", and "intelligent life restricted to earth" and "all descendants of a human" and...
So?
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