HB Arnett’s

801 372 - 0819

hbarnett@fiber.net

1391 West 800 South – Orem, Utah 84058

 

Vol. 35, Issue 11 –October 6, 2014

 

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We are about to find out!

Is the Go Fast, Go Hard Offense Sustainable?

 

I read the following somewhere a couple of weeks ago.

 

BYU Offense Has Huge HC Problem

 

Take a deep breath. HC doesn’t stand for Honor Code. It stands for Hill Centric.

 

Taysom Hill is the BYU offense. Take him out of the equation and there is no Cougar offense.

 

That is why I personally think this Robert Anae offense will not be sustainable or viable in the near future.

 

As long as Anae has a HH (Healthy Hill) BYU will put up good to great offensive numbers. But what happens when Hill is hurt or uses up his eligibility?

 

Hill is a once-in-a-two-decade-type talent. Take him away and this offense won’t be productive enough to make any national noise. That’s my opinion and I’m sticking to it.

 

I hate it when ESPN announcers agree with me. That is the ultimate insult, but even they pondered and pontificated about what would happen to BYU this year if Taysom Hill was injured.

 

Texas A&M was able to replace Johnny Manziel with Kenny Hill and the beat went on. Who replaces Hill when he is gone?

 

Okay, I actually wrote those words three weeks ago in Issue 8. I didn’t expect to have an answer this soon, but with Hill now gone for the year and maybe forever if he opts for the NFL this coming spring, the answer to who replaces Hill is here and now.

 

The obvious, easiest and only answer for the present is Christian Stewart, Hill’s current backup. An even scarier question is who replaces Stewart for the remainder of this season if the senior backup signal caller takes an unfortunate hit?

 

Pondering Pessimistically

 

That’s for more pessimistic minds than mine to ponder.

 

I actually think this Christian Stewart thing could be a blessing in disguise for the future of BYU’s offense going forward.

 

Call me old fashioned or just a flatulent old guy, but I have watched enough BYU football offensively to know that the Cougars are never going to out talent the top tier schools playing this sport.

 

LaVell figured it out. You have to throw the ball to balance the scales. This go fast, go hard stuff only worked because BYU had Taysom Hill. It was never going to be a sustainable offense.

 

Now what?

 

The only practical skill Christian Stewart has is throwing the football. He is definitely not Heisman material, but believe it or not, he is Darrell Garretson material. If that name sounds familiar, it should. He is the backup QB from Utah State that torched BYU’s defense for 321 yards and 3 TDs last Friday night in Provo.

 

Ladies and Gentlemen, we are about to see what the BYU offense of the future will look like this Thursday against Central Florida. More importantly we are about to see if Robert Anae is a real offensive coordinator or just a copy cat of Arizona and Rich Rodriquez.

 

Bad Rap?

 

BYU coaches have taken the rap of not being able to adapt or adjust. That reputation will either be chiseled in stone or erased during the rest of this season.

 

I think Stewart will be serviceable throwing the football. If that assessment is accurate and the Cougar brain trust adapts and adjusts the offense to cater to his skill set, it bodes extremely well for the future when the Cougars will have an extremely talented thrower on the roster next season with the return of Tanner Mangum from his LDS mission.

 

I still stand by my earlier assessment of BYU having a bevy of talented receivers. They just never got to showcase their talent with the way the offense was run and dictated by Hill’s running skills.

 

The best Cougar receiver actually saw the field for the very first time late in the game against Utah State. Nick Kurtz actually ran out on the field late in the fourth quarter, but coaches were going crazy trying to get him off the field. They succeeded. That screamed to me that they are still considering a redshirt year for the 6-6, 205 pound receiver.

 

If the Cougar offense is going to be passing centric going forward, then I think this week those same BYU coaches will realize that they need Kurtz now and can’t wait for next season to utilize his talents.

 

I want to re-emphasize my statement that BYU will never be able to recruit well enough to go toe-to-toe with the big boys of college football on offense.

 

Dents and Danced

 

History shows that when BYU did have its moments of glory on the national stage, it was with a quarterback that could fling it. That assessment has been backed up, in my opinion, by the other non big boy schools that made dents and danced on the national stage.

 

Boise State did it with Kellen Moore at quarterback. Utah did it with Alex Smith and TCU did it with Andy Dalton. All three are on NFL rosters with Smith and Dalton recently signing big money contracts.

 

For the little guys to compete with the big guys, you absolutely have to have an NFL caliber thrower.

 

I think it will be proven that BYU has one in the pipeline with Mangum. The sooner the offense gets adapted and adjusted to fit his skill set, the better off BYU will be in the long run. Go fast, go hard has been fun with Taysom Hill. Now it’s just time to go away.

 

Jim McMahon Hits the Coaching Nail on the Head

 

Jim McMahon had his number retired last week in the BYU Hall of Fame. It is a well deserved honor. He may not have known it at the time, but he also hit the BYU coaching nail right on the head.

 

Here is some of what he said during his induction speech: “I want to thank my coaches. I had some great coaches here. Doug Scovil. He’s the best coach I’ve ever been around. I played in the NFL for 16 seasons and nobody taught me as much as him.

 

My senior year I had Ted Tollner who came from San Diego State and went on to USC. There was a guy in between. I kind of forget his name because he was awful. He was the worst hire you ever made LaVell. I think everybody here knows it and you know it.” Hear his entire speech by clicking here.

 

As McMahon so succinctly said, head coaches make good hires and bad hires. Since it is highly unlikely that any future football hall of fame inductee will be so outspoken and candid about Bronco Mendenhall’s hires, somebody will have to do it for them.

 

I nominate me for the honor.

 

Let’s start with Bronco’s pedigree. He is a product from the Rocky Long coaching tree at New Mexico. Long, you may remember, was head coach for the Lobos for several years and resigned after very little progress at UNM to become a defensive coordinator at San Diego State. After some confusion and chaos at SDSU, Long became head coach of the Aztecs. His record is mediocre at best at both schools.

 

In my opinion, Long, when going from coordinator to head coach, is the epitome of The Peter Principle, which states; "in a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to their level of incompetence".

 

Manager and Motivator

 

Like Long, Mendenhall has proven that he is an outstanding defensive coordinator. He also is an outstanding manager and motivator of players and quasi mission president of young LDS men who are on his teams. But for me, from a strictly football point of view as the head coach at BYU, I am still wavering between him being the perfect guy for the job or the perfect Peter Principle.

 

I base most of that judgment by the coaches he has surrounded himself with.

 

In Bronco’s first year as head coach in 2005, he hired nobody. He inherited an entire staff from Crowton and also was given Robert Anae. Anae was not Bronco’s hire but put on the payroll by the administration before Mendenhall was even hired. That staff included Lance Reynolds, Brandon Doman, Jeff Grimes, Patrick Higgins, Steve Kaufusi, Barry Lamb, Brian Mitchell and Paul Tidwell.

 

His first hires were Mark Weber as an offensive line coach and Jaime Hill as a defensive back coach in 2007. In 2010 he hired Nick Howell. He followed that up in 2011 with the hire of Joe Dupaix, Ben Cahoon and Kelly Poppinga. In a big shakeup, last season, 2013, he brought back Robert Anae, hired Mark Atuaia, Jason Beck, Garett Tujague and Guy Holliday.

 

Just speculating, but in twenty years when a BYU football player from Mendenhall’s era is inducted into the BYU HOF, do you think they will be bragging about the great coaches they had while playing at BYU?  Me either.

 

The coaching pool for BYU football is very shallow by the nature of the sponsoring institution, but of all of Mendenhall’s hires (10) only 4 had any Division I experience before joining the BYU staff. That would be Anae, at Texas Tech, UNLV, Hawaii; Mark Weber at UCLA, Fresno State, Oregon State, Nevada; Joe Dupaix at Navy and Guy Holliday at UTEP and Mississippi State.

 

Three have never coached anywhere but as grad assistants at BYU. That would be Nick Howell, Kelly Poppinga and Mark Atuaia. Two others other had never coached anywhere before joining the staff (Cahoon and Doman).

 

Who knows if these guys will ever become great coaches or even coaching legends, but with the loss of several key defensive starters from last year and with Taysom Hill on hiatus, we are about to find out just what kind of coaches Mendenhall has hired.

 

Coaching History

 

One of those guys with no college coaching history before becoming a grad assistant for Mendenhall and then rising from assistant coach to defensive coordinator is Nick Howell.

 

With the BYU defense now struggling to defend the pass, generate any pass rush and just performing poorly, since Howell’s promotion ,there has been lots of speculation that Bronco would take back the defensive reins and start coordinating the defense for the rest of the season.

 

I don’t see that happening.

 

It’s hard to fire you own family. Bronco has personally tutored Howell as a coach. He hand picked him to be his successor. It is almost like he is his adopted son.

 

He won’t do anything to embarrass Howell. When Mendenhall replaced Jaime Hill, he publicly removed him from the staff. Hill was paid, but he wasn’t on the field.

 

Mendenhall won’t do anything public with Howell, if he does anything at all. Howell will retain the title and still coach, but you can bet Bronco will have much more input in the defensive meetings and call much more of the defensive game.

 

If you are expecting a Manny Diaz scenario (the Texas defensive coordinator who was fired after the loss to BYU in 2013), it ain’t happening at BYU.

 

When times are tough, you go back to doing what you do best. For Bronco and BYU, it’s coordinating the Cougar defense.

 

Strength of Schedule for Cougars Just Got Tougher

 

BYU just improved their strength of schedule the Hill and Hard way.

 

With Taysom Hill already having successful surgery on his broken leg this past weekend, BYU’s schedule going forward without the premier quarterback just got a lot tougher.

 

Forget the polls and playoffs. Those suddenly became non relevant. What is relevant is that without Hill, what was judged to be a too soft schedule on the national pundit scene is now a schedule that has gone from soft to suspect on the BYU survival scene when considering games BYU can win the rest of this season.

 

Las Vegas odds makers have already backed up that claim by making the Cougars a 3 ½ point underdog against the Knights of Central Florida for this Thursday’s game in Orlando.

 

There are still two slam dunks left on the schedule regardless of who is quarterbacking the Cougars; Christian Stewart or Christian Dior. Thank goodness for Savannah State and UNLV. No amount of Christian Dior perfume can disguise those two future opponents. They both stink.

 

But when it comes to Nevada at home in Provo, Boise State, Middle Tennessee and Cal on the road, those games are now teasers and toss ups.

 

It’s not time to abandon the good ship Lollipop yet, but I do have my life vest on and tightly secured. I call the Cougars staying afloat for this week in 24-21 upset of UCF.

 

TIMING IS EVERTHING

 

Taysom Hill’s broken leg couldn’t have come at a worse time. Kyle Collinsworth’s return from a broken knee couldn’t have come at a better time.

 

Throw in the fact that while BYU football was suffering from a little humble pie in LaVell Edwards Stadium last Friday night, Dave Rose and his BYU basketball was offering some real pie in the sky to get Cougar fans salivating earlier in the morning on that same day.

 

Thank goodness for BYU’s Basketball Media Day. While the bottom may appear to have fallen out in football, the aspirations and expectations for BYU basketball appear to be through the roof.

 

The Cougars will begin official practices today. They may have to do it with a regular practice, a swing shift practice and a graveyard practice. With 18 players on the roster, Rose may have to get creative in getting all of his players meaningful practice time.

 

So why all the early hype?

 

It’s simple. Last season BYU couldn’t consistently shoot the three, play defense or come up with a post presence on either side of the ball.

 

The preseason promise is that the Cougars have or will fix all those issues.

 

Players all promised that defense will be emphasized and executed this coming season. Chase Fischer, the Wake Forest transfer, says he is ready to go and provide some consistent long range shooting. When asked to name the new players on the roster that have impressed in offseason workouts, almost all players mentioned Jake Toolson as a shooter from beyond the arc.

 

The biggest buzz, however, was Dave Rose invoking the name of Hakeem Olajuwon when describing new incoming freshman Corbin Kaufusi. To get your blood pressure elevated watch this video.

 

One thing Dave Rose didn’t talk about when it came to Kaufusi is how he scored on the NBA Draft Combine tests. The Cougar coaching staff has always put their players through the same tests in the preseason that the NBA does for prospective players at their combine in Chicago.

 

Kaufusi was off the charts according to the reports I got about his performance. Maybe that is why the reference to Olajuwon. To get an idea of a few of the things tested by the NBA and BYU, one of the tests is the Lane agility drill (also known as the Box agility test). It measures how fast a player moves around the key, using forward sprinting, side-to-side shuffling and backpedaling to navigate cones placed around the key. NBA scouts say that they can determine who can be a good defensive player based on this test.

 

Here are a couple of videos from a recent NBA scouting combine to give you an idea of what BYU was testing and why the results that Kaufusi turned in got BYU coaches breathing heavily.

 

Example 1

Example 2

Example 3

 

Besides the Kaufusi excitement, Kyle Collinsworth is still the key to a big season for Dave Rose and his Cougars. Actually the health of Collinsworth is more important. Here is a video that should be interesting to watch. Collinsworth

 

TV Timetable

 

BYU vs. Central Florida

Thursday, October 9 at Orlando

Kickoff: 5:30 pm MDT

TV: ESPN

BYU vs. Nevada

Saturday, October 18 at Provo

Kickoff: TBD

TV: TBD

BYU vs. Boise State

Friday, October 24 at Boise

Kickoff: 7:00 pm MDT

TV: ESPN or ESPN2

 

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